HALISTER1: IMF Slashes Saudi Arabia Growth Forecast on Lower Oil Output (1)

IMF Slashes Saudi Arabia Growth Forecast on Lower Oil Output (1)

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BN (Bloomberg News)

Tickers
13347Z US (International Monetary Fund)

People
Gian Milesi-Ferretti (International Monetary Fund)
Mohammed Al Saud (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia)
Mohammed Al-Jadaan (Kingdom of Saudi Arabia)
Monica Malik (Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank PJSC)
Simon Williams (HSBC Holdings PLC)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: BCB PREVIEW: Minutes to Be in Line With Post-Decision Statement

BCB PREVIEW: Minutes to Be in Line With Post-Decision Statement

(Bloomberg) -- Analysts don’t expect much news from BCB’s latest minutes after the post-decision statement brought details of the rationale for the surprise 75bp cut.
  • BCB to signal maintenance of easing pace of 75bps in coming meeting without being too explicit about it due to external and political risks, USP professor Simao Silber says in interview
  • BCB post-meeting statement was clear enough on what the monetary policy committee expects, 4E Consultoria Economist and Partner Bruno Lavieri says
  • Market is already pricing in a cut of 75bps in next meeting, as govt has no room to take fiscal measures necessary to boost economy in short term, Banco Votorantim Economist Carlos Lopes says
  • Minutes unlikely to bring clear signal on easing cycle amid uncertainties on external scenario and to what extent food disinflation benefit will remain, SulAmerica Investimentos Chief Economist Newton Rosa says
  • NOTE: In Surprise Rate Cut, Brazil Signals New Pace of Easing Ahead
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Bruno Lavieri (4E Consultoria Economica Ltda)
Newton Rosa (Sul America Cia Nacional de Seguros)
Simao Davi Silber (Universidade de Sao Paulo)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: Gilt-Bund Spread Holds Compression Bias While Capped by 21-ExpMA

Gilt-Bund Spread Holds Compression Bias While Capped by 21-ExpMA

(Bloomberg) -- Gilt-bund 10-year yield spread retains outlook for near-term narrowing on charts with today’s widening fading once again at the down-slanting moving average line, currently at 106bps, Bloomberg technical analyst Sejul Gokal writes.
  • See chart here; spread at 99bps vs 105bps wide
  • Spread tightening may reach 88bps support before more significant level at 83bps (76.4% Fibonacci and high distribution zone)
  • MACD firmly sub-zero, corroborating tightening scenario
  • Closing break above 106bps (or 21-EMA) opens up new widening risks and re-introduces 118bps (61.8% Fibonacci of narrowing from Brexit vote reaction wide)
  • NOTE: Sejul Gokal is a technical strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: South Korea prosecutors seek arrest of Samsung heir-apparent

South Korea prosecutors seek arrest of Samsung heir-apparent

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: FTI (Financial Times)

Tickers
005930 KS (Samsung Electronics Co Ltd)

People
Lee Jae-Yong (Samsung Electronics Co Ltd)
Lee Kun-Hee (Samsung Electronics Co Ltd)
Park Geun-Hye (Republic of Korea)

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UUID: 7947283