INSIDE ASIA: NZD Slides on RBNZ Rate Cut Signal; BI Decision Due
(Bloomberg) -- New Zealand’s kiwi leads losses among Asian currencies after RBNZ signals it will reduce the policy rate to boost inflation.
- OIS probability of a rate cut at next RBNZ meeting rises to 90%; was at 75% yesterday
- New Zealand 2-yr IRS falls 8 bps to 2.0475%, its 10-year sovereign bond yield drops 3 bps to 2.262%
- Kiwibank says it now expects RBNZ to cut cash rate to 1.5%
- New Zealand Finance Minister Bill English sees no need to change RBNZ’s mandate, NBR reports
- Kiwi downside limited by central bank demand for NZ assets, sees support for currency at 0.6914, the 100- DMA: CBA
- Yen drops for a second day, as nation is said be considering 20t yen stimulus package, twice the size reported in Japanese media, Kyodo News reports, citing people close to the matter
- USD/JPY may extend rally until BOJ meeting next week, however, the pair may be exposed to downside risk on “buy on rumor, sell the fact” after unveiling monetary and fiscal stimulus, says Kuniyuki Hirai, NY-based head of trading at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ
- Pair extends gain early trading on likely triggering stop-losses above 107 in thin trading condition, writes Naoto Ono, Tokyo-based analyst at Ueda Harlow in note
- Asian currency broader lower as probability of Sept. Fed hike rises to 24.6% yday vs 20.9% on July 19
- Investors pulling back from EM as geopolitical concerns emanating from Turkey start to filter through, says Stephen Innes, senior trader at Oanda
- Yuan steady after gaining 0.26% yesterday ahead of G-20 finance ministers meeting in Chengdu this weekend
- SAFE says market expectations on yuan are stabilizing and pressure from cross-border flows eased in 1H
- China banks sold net 116.1b yuan of forex for clients in June, according to SAFE data
- USD/CNH will probably fluctuate around 6.67 in 2H after PBOC sent signal to calm yuan depreciation expectations, Maybank senior FX analyst Fiona Lim says
- Yuan’s use in global transactions fell to 1.72% in June vs 1.90% in May, according to Swift RMB payments tracker
- Chinese bonds may be added in global indexes in 2017: Pimco
- IDR slips as investors await Bank Indonesia decision later today with most economists predicting a rate cut
- 16 of 26 economists expect a 25 bps rate cut and 10 forecast no change, according to Bloomberg survey
- Morgan Stanley said yday BI may instead relax macro- prudential measures like cutting downpayments for autos, averting a rate cut at this meeting
- Ringgit leads losses among emerging Asian currencies
- Singapore seized S$240m in assets belonging to Malaysian financier Jho Low and immediate family, in move related to 1MDB probe
- Won drops for second day
- Uncertainties, such as Brexit, are increasing and private sector economy remains weak: Finance Minister Yoo
- Other Southeast Asian currencies including PHP and THB also fall
Alert:
HALISTER1Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
People Fiona Lim (Malayan Banking Bhd)
Kuniyuki Hirai (Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd/The)
Naoto Ono (Ueda Harlow Ltd)
Simon English (New Zealand)
Stephen Innes (OANDA Corp)
To de-activate this alert, click
hereUUID: 7947283