HALISTER: Sun Valley Showdown Looms for Shari Redstone, Philippe Dauman

Sun Valley Showdown Looms for Shari Redstone, Philippe Dauman

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BN (Bloomberg News)

Tickers
VIAB US (Viacom Inc)

People
Philippe Dauman (Viacom Inc)
Shari Redstone (Cinebridge Ventures Inc)
Sumner Redstone (National Amusements Inc)
Casey Wasserman (Wasserman Media Group LLC)
James Murdoch (Twenty-First Century Fox Inc)

Topics
Olympics

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: INSIDE ASIA: FX Mixed Before Fed; MSCI Delays A-Share Inclusion

INSIDE ASIA: FX Mixed Before Fed; MSCI Delays A-Share Inclusion

(Bloomberg) -- Asian currencies fluctuate ahead of FOMC, BOJ meetings and Brexit vote looming next week; China’s onshore yuan pares losses after sliding to lowest since Jan. 2011 in early trade.
  • Yen, won and baht among decliners, while ringgit, Aussie and kiwi advance
  • “Asian currencies seeing some influence from onshore and offshore yuan upward and downward moves after MSCI decides not to include China A-shares in index,” Mizuho Bank emerging-market trader Masakatsu Fukaya says
    • “Brexit risk still deters risk-taking. Traders and investors are basically staying on the sidelines ahead of outcome of Fed and BOJ meetings”
  • MSCI decides against including A-shares in EM index; CSRC says decision won’t affect China capital market reform
    • Not a big surprise, but MSCI decision has negative impact on yuan sentiment, RBS chief Greater China economist Harrison Hu says
    • Disappointment for Chinese authorities: ANZ
  • Yen heads for first decline in four days
    • JPY stabilizes in anticipation of Fed, BOJ meetings: BofA
    • 11 of 40 economists in Bloomberg survey say BOJ will ease; decision, Kuroda conference due June 16
    • Brexit risk to keep spurring yen as BOJ seen on hold: Preview
    • Japanese economy will grow 0.4% in 2Q, according to Bloomberg survey from June 8-14
    • Cabinet minister Ishiba says negative rates won’t affect individuals; steps should be taken to counter unease
  • USD/CNY steady at 6.5959 after rising as much as 0.12% to 6.6047; PBOC set CNY reference rate at 6.6001/USD, weakest since Jan. 12, 2011; USD/CNH also steady after rising to highest since Feb. 4
    • May data due today include new yuan loans, seen rising to 750b yuan from 555.6b in April: median est. in Bloomberg survey; M2 is expected to grow 12.5% vs 12.8% in April; aggregate financing seen increasing to 1t yuan from 751b
  • Rupiah little changed; Indonesia exports -9.75% y/y in May vs -7.8% est. and -12.64% in April; imports -4.12% vs -5.83% est. and -14.62% in April; trade surplus $370m
    • Brexit, FOMC may drive rupiah more than Bank Indonesia: Analysis
  • Won declines; Korean unemployment rate at 3.7% in May, same as previous month; median est. was 3.8%
  • Aussie gains after falling as much as 0.33%; AUD may stay bid if jobs miss est. thanks to haven buying ahead of Brexit vote: Analysis; Australia jobs data due June 16
    • NZ posts smallest current account deficit in six quarters
    • 10-yr govt bond yield drops as much as 2 bps to 2.034%, while New Zealand’s benchmark yield falls as much as 6 bps to 2.443%
  • Baht falls for second day; global investors sold net 609m baht ($17m) in local bonds yday, first outflow since June 1: TBMA data; sold net $2.1m local equities, fourth straight day of net sales, longest stretch in a month: exchange data
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Harrison Hu (Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC)
Masakatsu Fukaya (Mizuho Financial Group Inc)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: INSIDE G-10: GBP, NZD Recover, USD Mixed Ahead of FOMC Decision

INSIDE G-10: GBP, NZD Recover, USD Mixed Ahead of FOMC Decision

(Bloomberg) -- Major currencies are steadier as traders take from a breather from Brexit-related news and shift focus to FOMC decision later today and BOJ tomorrow.
  • Fed likely to downgrade long-run target rate of its hiking cycle by 25 bps to 3%; cause USD to weaken, Goldman Sachs says
  • G-10 currencies’ volatility risk premium, as measured by difference between 3-mo. implied and realized volatility, rose yday to highest since June 2012
  • GBP/USD +0.18% to 1.4140 vs 1.4094-1.4144 range
    • Fast-money accounts sold near 1.4100 in early session, leaving buy-stops up through 1.4155, trader says
    • Options expiring today include 1.4050 puts for GBP1.33b and 1.4000 puts for GBP1.06b
    • Gundlach says Brexit ‘leave’ is over-polling and likely to fail
  • AUD/USD +0.18% to 0.7371 vs 0.7334-0.7373 range
    • Aussie exporter bids approaching 0.7330 remain unfilled, with macro offers still at 0.7380, says trader
    • Pair sold in early session by leveraged investors after MSCI chose not to include Chinese A-shares: trader
    • AUD may stay bid on haven buying if jobs miss: analysis
    • Australia ANZ weekly consumer confidence falls 0.3% to 116.4
  • BBDXY -0.06% to 1,188.33
    • 10-year Treasury yield up 1 bp to 1.623%
  • USD/JPY +0.08% to 106.19 vs 105.94-106.31 range
    • Brexit risk to keep fueling yen rally while BOJ is seen on hold this week; see preview
    • Yen, volatility begin to stabilize as investors adjust positions before Fed and BOJ meetings, Bank of America says
    • BOJ could be bracing for Brexit with bond buying delay, Nikkei reports
  • NZD/USD +0.43% to 0.7023 vs 0.6964-0.7024 range
    • N.Z. posts smallest current account deficit in six quarters
    • May home sales rise 13.6% y/y, REINZ says
  • EUR/USD steady at 1.1207 vs 1.1190-1.1214 range
    • ECB’s Weidmann, Constancio speak
  • Gold, WTI and Brent crude futures decline; copper rises
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: Brexit, FOMC May Drive USD/IDR More Than BI Near Term: Analysis

Brexit, FOMC May Drive USD/IDR More Than BI Near Term: Analysis

(Bloomberg) -- USD/IDR direction may be more influenced by FOMC and Brexit than Thursday’s Bank Indonesia meeting given that rates could be unchanged, Bloomberg strategist David Finnerty writes.
  • BI will leave reference rate at 6.75% according to 18 of 29 economists in Bloomberg survey; 11 expect 25-bp cut
  • USD/IDR showed sensitivity to Fed rhetoric last month, rallying from 13,270 on May 17 to 13,695 a week later as FOMC minutes raised likelihood of June rate hike; pair breached 13,000-13,500 range had been in since Feb. 23
    • If Fed maintains dot plan this week, could support USD strength as markets would have to reprice higher probability of hike this yr after adjustment lower on weak May payrolls
  • BI’s executive director of monetary policy, Juda Agung, on May 31 said monetary stance is accommodative to support growth, room for easing is available; signaled rate cut possible but holding rates should support IDR, particularly given event risks
  • Brexit referendum on June 23 may spur risk-off sentiment if leave campaign wins, weighing on IDR; Fed’s Yellen said earlier this month a vote to leave could have significant repercussions
  • NOTE: David Finnerty is an FX strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: Daiwa SB’s Kunibe Sells BTPs, SPGs for USTs Ahead of Brexit Vote

Daiwa SB’s Kunibe Sells BTPs, SPGs for USTs Ahead of Brexit Vote

(Bloomberg) -- Shinji Kunibe, head of fixed-income management at Daiwa SB Investments, has cut holdings of short-dated sovereign bonds in Italy and Spain and shifted to Treasuries and German bunds.
  • “Short-term Italian and Spanish notes were rock-solid even during May when U.S. market priced in a rate increase, but selling of these European securities has accelerated this week,” Tokyo-based Kunibe says by phone today
    • “There is no choice but to hold Treasuries and bunds in case of Brexit,” he adds
  • Investment in bunds are hedged against exposure to euro fluctuations: Kunibe
  • If U.K. decides to leave EU, its shock to markets could be equivalent to Lehman crisis: Kunibe
  • NOTE: Yield on Italy’s 2-yr note has risen 13 bps this week to 0.088%, while similar-maturity yield in Spain has increased 11 bps to 0.050%
  • NOTE: Daiwa SB Investments has $51b in total assests under management as of end-March, 2016
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Shinji Kunibe (Daiwa Securities Group Inc)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: INDIA RATINGS: Mangla Apparels Raised; Klassik Enterprises Cut

INDIA RATINGS: Mangla Apparels Raised; Klassik Enterprises Cut

(Bloomberg) -- Here’s a roundup of Indian co. debt-rating changes.
  • To get this story sent to your inbox real-time, run NI INRATINGS , click on Display & Edit, then Set Alert Delivery
DOWNGRADES
  • H.L. Passey Engineering
    • Long-term rating cut to BB- from BB at Crisil
    • Cites deterioration in liquidity due to stretched working capital cycle
  • Klassik Enterprises
    • LT rating cut to B- from B at Crisil
    • Cites deterioration in co.’s liquidity due to lower- than-expected client advances
UPGRADES
  • Kapil Solvex
    • LT rating raised to BB- from B+ at Crisil
    • Cites improvement in liquidity
  • Mangla Apparels
    • LT rating raised to BBB from BBB- at Crisil
    • Cites expectation of an improvement in co.’s business risk profile, supported by revenue growth
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
1018907D IN (Century Appliances Ltd)
9255885Z IN (Kail Ltd)
1263624D IN (Millennium Appliances India Ltd)
PI IN (PI Industries Ltd)
TRCL IN (Ramco Cements Ltd/The)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: Nike, Adidas Replace Big-Name Luxury as China Goes Casual

Nike, Adidas Replace Big-Name Luxury as China Goes Casual

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BN (Bloomberg News)

Tickers
NKE US (NIKE Inc)
ADS GR (adidas AG)

People
Herbert Hainer (adidas AG)
Mark Parker (NIKE Inc)
Xi Jinping (People's Republic of China)

Topics
Luxury Spending
Sports Business

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UUID: 7947283