HALISTER1: Fed’s Kashkari: More Bank Capital May Be Good Way to Combat TBTF

Fed’s Kashkari: More Bank Capital May Be Good Way to Combat TBTF

(Bloomberg) -- Minneapolis Fed Pres. Neel Kashkari said increasing capital requirements of largest U.S. banks may be “straightforward way to address” too-big-to-fail issue.
  • “There is a strong argument that simpler solutions are more likely to be effective than complex ones,” Kashkari said Monday in text of speech in Minneapolis; “I see virtue in focusing on increasing common equity to assets”
    • NOTE: He has previously called for breaking up largest banks
  • More capital will “absorb losses even from activities we cannot anticipate today”; won’t be “direct firewall” that contains risk, yet should prevent risk from intensifying from bank to bank
  • At April 4 Minneapolis Fed symposium of experts, “compelling” argument was made that there’s “little evidence” recent growth of large banks has led to economic benefits for U.S.
    • Recommendation was made to impose “effective cap” on bank size of ~$350b and dramatically increase capital requirements if a bank exceeds that size
    • Experts also expressed doubt about how easy it would be to implement a “break-up” plan; image of govt analysts arbitrarily deciding how to divide a “trillion-dollar bank” gives “many people concern -- including me”
    • Given “sufficient incentive,” banks should “be able to restructure themselves”
  • Still thinks largest U.S. banks are “too big to fail,” “skeptical that current efforts to fix that problem will ultimately work”
    • While many current efforts are headed in “right direction,” “I am not sure those measures go far enough”; worries officials will ultimately turn to taxpayers again instead of imposing losses on creditors
    • Dodd-Frank may be boosting advantage large banks have over smaller banks
  • Minneapolis Fed is developing own plan for ending TBTF, which will be released yr-end; one idea is to create alternative resolution mechanisms that could address any shortcomings in current resolution plans
  • European banks’ contingent convertible debt, designed to convert to equity if bank faces trouble, may be “mechanism” that spreads uncertainty from bank to bank
    • Has “serious concerns” that such debt will add to uncertainty during crisis rather than reduce it
  • One difficulty during 2008 crisis was that a “run” at one bank could quickly become a run at multiple banks; there was also problem of sticking debt holders with losses at GSEs
  • NOTE: Kashkari, a former Pimco executive and Treasury official who oversaw TARP program, joined Minneapolis Fed in Jan.; he succeeded Narayana Kocherlakota
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Neel Kashkari (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)

Topics
BGOV Finance

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: BTP Futures Drop After Italy Announces New 20Y Syndication

BTP Futures Drop After Italy Announces New 20Y Syndication

(Bloomberg) -- BTP futures fall ~30 ticks in 3 minutes after Italy announces new 20Y bond for sale via syndication.
  • JPMorgan recommends underweight 10Y-15Y Italy as valuations are expensive; expects pressure from new 15Y syndication in coming weeks, according to a client note
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: Li’s PineBridge Names Allianz’s Sluyters Chief Operating Officer

Li’s PineBridge Names Allianz’s Sluyters Chief Operating Officer

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BN (Bloomberg News)

Tickers
ALV GR (Allianz SE)
3809868Z LN (PineBridge Investments Europe Ltd)

People
Gregory Ehret (PineBridge Investments LLC)
Julian Sluyters (Old Mutual Capital LLC)
David Jiang (PineBridge Investments LLC)
George Hornig (PineBridge Investments Europe Ltd)
Jacqueline Hunt (Prudential PLC)

Topics
Who's News - People
Management Changes

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: Brazil Markets Eye Senate Impeachment Role, Eco. Team: Analysts

Brazil Markets Eye Senate Impeachment Role, Eco. Team: Analysts

(Bloomberg) -- After President Rousseff’s impeachment approved in Lower House yday, process moves to Senate, where top leader Renan Calheiros will likely play a decisive role; Senate decision will be crucial for markets, along with the formation of potential new president Michel Temer’s economic team, analysts say.
  • “Maybe the Senate will not be as speedy as the House was, but the process will evolve anyway,” Silvio Campos Neto, economist at Tendencias Consultoria says
    • “There is no room to delay the process” after the decisive win of the impeachment seen in the House
  • Calheiros tends to adopt an at least neutral approach; he won’t create hurdles for the impeachment process, Paulo Petrassi, FI trading manager at Leme Investimentos says
    • Market also tracks reports showing VP Temer is already considering appointments for his team in case he replaces Rousseff, Campos Neto says
    • Naming the team to be the “first measure” Temer takes to instill investor confidence, should he pick ministers well known in the markets, Campos Neto says
  • NOTE: If impeachment is approved in next vote in Senate, Rousseff will be temporarily ousted for up to 180 days
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Michel Temer (Federative Republic of Brazil)
Dilma Rousseff (Federative Republic of Brazil)
Paulo Petrassi (Leme Investimentos Ltda)
Renan Calheiros (Federative Republic of Brazil)
Silvio Neto (Tendencias Consultoria Integra)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: Morgan Stanley CEO Sees Slightly Better Tone in Market: TOPLive

Morgan Stanley CEO Sees Slightly Better Tone in Market: TOPLive

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BN (Bloomberg News)

Tickers
MS US (Morgan Stanley)

People
James Gorman (Morgan Stanley)
Glenn Schorr (Evercore Partners Inc)
Jonathan Pruzan (Morgan Stanley)
Matthew Burnell (Wells Fargo & Co)
Yousef Abbasi (JonesTrading Institutional Services LLC)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: Deutsche Bank Asset-Management Head Price Taking Medical Leave

Deutsche Bank Asset-Management Head Price Taking Medical Leave

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BN (Bloomberg News)

Tickers
DBK GR (Deutsche Bank AG)
BLK US (BlackRock Inc)

People
Jonathan Eilbeck (Deutsche Bank Ag/london)
Quintin Price (Deutsche Bank AG)
John Cryan (Deutsche Bank AG)

Topics
Who's News - People
Management Changes

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER: Ardagh Said to Be Leading Bidder for Ball-Rexam Assets

Ardagh Said to Be Leading Bidder for Ball-Rexam Assets

(Bloomberg) -- Decision on exclusivity may come as early as this week, people familiar with the matter say.
  • Discussions aren’t final and may still fall apart, the people say, asking not to be named because the deliberations are private
  • Representatives for Ball, Rexam, Ardagh declined to comment
  • NOTE: Assets had also attracted offers from Apollo, Blackstone and Madison Dearborn, people familiar with the matter said previously
  • NOTE: Divested operations could be valued at about $4 billion based on Ebitda of about $400 million, a person said previously
Alert: HALISTER
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
8230501Z LX (Ardagh Group SA)
REX LN (Rexam PLC)
BLL US (Ball Corp)

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UUID: 7947283