HALISTER1: Santander Mexico Gains Most on IPC Gauge as JPMorgan Says Buy

Santander Mexico Gains Most on IPC Gauge as JPMorgan Says Buy

(Bloomberg) -- Shares rise as much as 3.2%, the biggest jump since April 24.
  • SANMEXB raised to overweight by JPM analyst Domingos Falavina on valuation; PT increased to 38 pesos from 34 pesos
  • JPM expects EPS growth of 14% in 2017, citing resilient loan growth, increased margins, “solid” asset quality
  • Mexican financial system seen benefiting from sustained higher rates and credit growth expected to sit around 9% to 10% in coming years
  • NOTE: SANMEXB has 5 buys, 10 holds, 4 sells; avg PT 33 pesos
  • NOTE, April 28: Santander Mexico 1Q Net MXN4.52b, Est. MXN4.17b, Link

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
SANMEXB MM (Grupo Financiero Santander Mexico SAB de CV)

People
Domingos Falavina (JPMorgan Chase & Co)

Topics
Emerging Mkts News, Analysis

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Factory Orders Due in 5 Minutes

U.S. ECO PREVIEW: Factory Orders Due in 5 Minutes

(Bloomberg) -- Following are forecasts for today’s U.S. economic releases as compiled by Bloomberg News:
  • Factory Orders 0.4% m/m; range -0.3% to 1.5% (51 estimates)
    • The factory revival may gather some steam now that the Trump administration has presented a tax cut plan, which could engender additional capital spending -- Bloomberg Intelligence
  • Durables 0.7% m/m; range -1% to 1% (3 estimates)

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: English Law May Cause ‘Headaches’ for Bank Bonds: Morgan Stanley

English Law May Cause ‘Headaches’ for Bank Bonds: Morgan Stanley

(Bloomberg) -- English law, the preferred framework for banks issuing regulatory capital, may be less attractive after Brexit when the U.K. becomes a “third country” for the EU, Morgan Stanley analysts say in note to clients.
  • Current EU law requires bonds issued to fulfill MREL requirements must either be governed by the law of a member state or contain contractual recognition of local bail-in power; requirement likely to be extended to other regulatory capital issuance
  • “Significant amount” of regulatory capital issued under English law without bail-in clauses
  • Much depends on the outcome of exit negotiations but:
    • “Fair to assume” bonds under English law will begin to get replaced, near-term calls more likely
    • If English law bonds derecognized “we expect grandfathering” of at least 5 yrs, possibly 10
    • Time will be needed because base documentation is still in English law for many issuers
    • Issuers unlikely to make significant moves until there is certainty on Brexit negotiations
  • Authors are Greg Case, Jackie Ineke

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Greg Case (Morgan Stanley & Co International PLC)
Jackie Ineke (Morgan Stanley)

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: DBRS: U.S. Structured Finance Newsletter

DBRS: U.S. Structured Finance Newsletter

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: DBR (Dominion Bond Rating Service)

People
Charles Weilamann (DBRS Inc)
Chris Donofrio (Dbrs Inc)
Chris O'Connell (DBRS Inc)
Christopher D'Onofrio (DBRS Inc)
Claire Mezzanotte (DBRS Inc)

Topics
Credit Analysis Research
Credit Research
Fixed Income Research
Industry & Sector Research
Investment Research

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UUID: 7947283