Brazil Market Sees Concessions on Reform Approaching Their Limit
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
People
Fabio Klein (Tendencias Consultoria Integra)
Solange Srour (Arx Investimentos)
Vladimir Caramaschi (Credit Agricole Brasil SA DTVM/Brazil)
To de-activate this alert, click here
To modify this alert, click here
UUID: 7947283
(Bloomberg) -- Recent govt concessions weakening the impact of social security reform approach a boundary which, if surpassed, may harm fiscal policy, said analysts such as Sao Paulo-based Fabio Klein.
- After recent changes, such as the age limit for retiring women and rules for public servants, the fiscal gain expected with the reform remains at no more than 60% of the original bill, Klein, an economist at Tendencias Consultoria, says in a phone interview
- Already completed concessions leave the govt with little margin for further negotiations with Congress, says Vladimir Caramaschi, chief strategist at CA Indosuez
- “The market impression is that the concessions have hit a limit”
- Brazil markets should set a solid trend only after the pension regime vote in Lower House floor, which is expected for May-June
- “The great expectation in markets is whether or not the Congress will make more changes in the pension reform bill,” Solange Srour, says chief economist at ARX Investimentos
- NOTE: On Wednesday, Itau, Brazil’s biggest bank, forecast that reform’s impact is 57% of original proposal vs 77% seen by govt after dilution
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
People
Fabio Klein (Tendencias Consultoria Integra)
Solange Srour (Arx Investimentos)
Vladimir Caramaschi (Credit Agricole Brasil SA DTVM/Brazil)
To de-activate this alert, click here
To modify this alert, click here
UUID: 7947283