HALISTER1: Deutsche, Goldman, Peers Contend With Sanctions, Bribery Probes

Deutsche, Goldman, Peers Contend With Sanctions, Bribery Probes

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BI (Bloomberg Intelligence)

Tickers
BARC LN (Barclays PLC)
C US (Citigroup Inc)
DBK GR (Deutsche Bank AG)
GS US (Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The)
HSBA LN (HSBC Holdings PLC)

Topics
BI Analysis

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UUID: 7947283

HALISTER1: Turkish Banks Climb as SocGen Turns More Optimistic on Outlook

Turkish Banks Climb as SocGen Turns More Optimistic on Outlook

(Bloomberg) -- Borsa Istanbul Banks Index rises 2.7%, most intraday since Feb. 13 as Societe Generale opts to increase exposure to Turkish banks and raises recommendation for Garanti and Isbank to buy from hold.
  • SocGen prefers “better-capitalized” banks, London-based banking analyst Alan Webborn writes in report
    • Says Garanti addressed its legacy asset quality issues and “impressed” with ‘strong commercial performance’ in 2016
    • Isbank seen having improved profitability gap with its private banking peers at faster rate than predicted
  • Garanti +2.9%, Akbank 2.3% and Isbank +3.3% as of 12:12pm in Istanbul
HIGHLIGHTS FROM REPORT:
  • Says Turkish bank valuations remain toward low end of the long-term range
  • “Having howled for sharp increases in the benchmark 1w repo rate, investors now appear satisfied with the recent unorthodox yet effective monetary tightening”
  • Says 2017 risks have not disapperared:
    • Referendum front: “A defeat for President Erdogan would be a setback for him, but we think this would be unlikely to provoke serious instability”
    • Macroeconomic support seen stalling, though recovering slightly
    • Weak lira “a burden for corporate sector and a constraint for investment”
  • Turkey seen likely to avoid sharp the recession that bank shares’ current valuations reflect
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
AKBNK TI (Akbank TAS)
GARAN TI (Turkiye Garanti Bankasi AS)
ISCTR TI (Turkiye Is Bankasi)

People
Alan Webborn (Societe Generale SA)

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UUID: 7947283