HALISTER: Goldman Sees High Probability That OPEC Extends Agreement

Goldman Sees High Probability That OPEC Extends Agreement

(Bloomberg) -- Oil price appreciation must come from front-end, Goldman Sachs Head of Commodity Research Jeffrey Currie says on Bloomberg TV.
  • Downside risk for WTI $3-$5/bbl if no OPEC deal, upside trading range $55-$60/bbl if deal extension
    • $57.50/bbl base case for WTI, $59/bbl base for Brent
  • Goldman sees rising demand for oil outside U.S
    • Sees carry as the route to drive returns on oil
    • Oil price determined by cost to produce from shale
    • Positive backwardation developing on crude oil
  • Trump tax details may trigger gold sell-off
  • Low potential for border adjustment tax
    • Border adjustment tax would make dollar stronger
  • Sees China’s raw steel demand rising

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
GS US (Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The)

People
Jeffrey Currie (Goldman Sachs & Co)

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