HALISTER: Venezuela’s PDVSA Likely to Continue Honoring Debt: Torino

Venezuela’s PDVSA Likely to Continue Honoring Debt: Torino

(Bloomberg) -- “We expect PDVSA to continue honoring its obligations and thus make the October and November payments in full,” Torino’s chief economist Francisco Rodriguez says in emailed note.
  • Central Bank reserve data important to watch regarding April 12 payment
    • “Were PDVSA to make payments without tapping the Central Bank’s international reserves – as we expect to be the case – it would serve as a good sign that the country’s capacity to service its debt obligations is not deteriorating as rapidly as some market participants fear”
  • Torino expects Venezuela to cover 2017 account deficit and financing needs through combination of asset sales and issuance of new liabilities
    • “We believe that the government would be willing to accept lower imports than those in our baseline scenario in order to avoid a default”

Alert: HALISTER
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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PDVSA VC (Petroleos de Venezuela SA)

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