HALISTER1: AUCTION PREVIEW: Dutch Re-Opening Seen Offering Z-Spread Value

AUCTION PREVIEW: Dutch Re-Opening Seen Offering Z-Spread Value

(Bloomberg) -- Netherlands to sell 0.5% 07/2026 for EU2b-3b at 11am CEST; analysts highlight value vs RFGBs and in ASW, supply not expected to be swapped.
  • ABN Amro (Kim Liu)
    • Don’t expect the re-opening to be swapped back by using derivatives; Dutch bond will also compete with demand for Austria auction
    • Dutch 10Y trades relatively cheap on ASW and Z-spread vs neighboring bonds; DSL/RFGB 10Y spread looks tight
  • Rabobank (Richard McGuire)
    • Don’t anticipate this tap to be swapped as DSTA strives to achieve its target of an average maturity of 5.5Y at end of 2016
    • DSL 2026 looks attractive versus swap, offers ~18bps pick-up
  • ING (Martin Van Vliet)
    • Despite good performance yesterday, roll vs DSL 07/25 at 13.2bps still looks attractive; 23bps pick-up vs Germany, shows DSL offers decent overcompensation for liquidity
    • Attractive to box 5s10s DSL flatteners vs RFGBs, given that Finland might tap the 10Y or 15Y later this quarter, and new 5yr DSL due next month
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
3584485Z NA (ABN AMRO Group NV)

People
Kim Liu (ABN AMRO Group NV)
Martin Van Vliet (ING Groep NV)
Richard McGuire (Rabobank International)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283