HALISTER1: BofAML Cautions HY Investors Against Overweight Positioning

BofAML Cautions HY Investors Against Overweight Positioning

(Bloomberg) -- BofAML January Credit Investor Survey showed high-yield investors increased overweight positioning and reduced their cash levels to the lowest reading since at least 2011, high yield strategists led by Michael Contopoulos write in note.
  • BofAML cautions against this over-stretching and recommends that investors pare their risk exposure; reiterates its earlier recommendation of tactically short position
  • The combination of “significant deviation from fundamentals and low cash levels is a recipe for trouble in the near- term”
  • Survey showed significant overweight positioning in Energy for the first time since September 2014; BofAML suggests investors move to market-weight stance on the sector as spreads are now in line with the overall index
  • While there is optimism about the possibility for reduced regulation, lower taxes, and higher infrastructure spending in 2H17 and early 2018, a lack of a clear plan of execution undermines optimism
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Michael Contopoulos (Bank of America Corp)

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