HALISTER1: BofAML Favors Ukraine Warrants on Underperformance Vs. Hryvnia

BofAML Favors Ukraine Warrants on Underperformance Vs. Hryvnia

(Bloomberg) -- “The GDP warrants have lagged the recovery in the UAH and Ukraine sovereign bonds,” analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch including Arko Sen say in research note.
  • NOTE: Hryvnia advnanced 3.3% in past mo.; Cbank began easing capital controls yday
  • GDP indicators suggest improving trend: BofAML
  • Calculates implied yield of warrants at 12%-15%
  • “We expect that once data start showing a recovery in the dollar level of nominal GDP, warrants will attract more interest”
  • Among Eurobonds, favors bonds maturing in 2019 on recent underperformance of short end of curve
    • NOTE: yld on 2019 bond -2bps to 9.46% at 12:54 p.m. in Kiev; yld on 2027 bond little changed at 8.83%
  • Expects new cabinet “to still have sufficient momentum to meet the requirements of the IMF”
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Arko Sen (Merrill Lynch International)

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