HALISTER1: BOJ Isn’t Tapering as Bond Plan Lets Superlong Yields Rise: SMBC

BOJ Isn’t Tapering as Bond Plan Lets Superlong Yields Rise: SMBC

(Bloomberg) -- Bank of Japan’s detailed bond buying plan does not imply tapering, which will first require a change to the bank’s target of buying around 80 trillion yen bonds annually, says Souichi Takeyama, a rates strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. in Tokyo.
  • “This is not tapering. But judging from median estimates, BOJ would be buying about 70t yen annually, below the 80t yen target,” he says
  • BOJ will need to first lower the 80t yen target at its policy meeting before it begins any taper
  • Latest BOJ bond buying plan suggests the central bank is letting yields longer than 25 years rise
    • Also suggests BOJ may cut bonds in 1-to-5-year maturity but cutting the zone significantly will undermine annual target
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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8301 JP (Bank of Japan)

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Souichi Takeyama (SMBC Nikko Securities Inc)

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