HALISTER1: Brazil Bill Vote, Tape Content Bring Market Relief, Garde Says

Brazil Bill Vote, Tape Content Bring Market Relief, Garde Says

(Bloomberg) -- Brazil’s assets may benefit from relief in political backdrop after a bill capping public spending was approved Tuesday, suggesting that recent noises in President Temer’s cabinet haven’t damaged the reform agenda, Daniel Weeks, chief economist at Garde Investimentos, says in a phone interview.
  • Temer government continues getting bills approved according to the schedule, with high margins
  • Also positive for market scenario the reports in Brazil media with transcription of the tapes recorded by former minister Calero with talks with Temer and chief of staff Padilha
    • Tapes content failed to show “anything new,” Weeks says
  • Brazil 3Q GDP was “negative, but not a disaster”; unlikely to change market expectation of a 25bps cut from Copom today
  • NOTE: 3Q GDP contracted 0.8% Q/q; Est. -0.9%
  • NOTE: DI rates drop, Ibovespa futures rises; BRL reverses early gains
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Daniel Weeks (Garde Asset Mgmt)
Eliseu Padilha (Federative Republic of Brazil)
Marcelo Calero (Federative Republic of Brazil)
Michel Temer (Federative Republic of Brazil)

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