HALISTER1: Brazil May Suspend FI Notes If Tension Persists, Kawall Says

Brazil May Suspend FI Notes If Tension Persists, Kawall Says

(Bloomberg) -- Brazil’s Treasury may signal suspension of fixed-income bond sales to help cool pressure over long-term rates should tension linked to American election persists, Carlos Kawall, economist at Banco Safra and a former Treasury secretary, says in a phone interview.
  • Treasury decision to buy back NTN-F and cancel auction of notes was ’’totally correct’’
    • While the scenario is not a “serious crisis‘‘ yet, there is a ‘‘global repricing of fixed-income markets”
    • Expectation of rate hike in U.S., already seen before Trump election, increased given elected president’s hints of expansionary fiscal policy, protectionism
    • To cope with BRL volatility, BCB likely to keep offering FX swaps as main demand for USD is for hedge in futures market
    • Market has no appetite for risk, leading volatility to rise
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Carlos Kawall Leal Ferreira (Banco J Safra)

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