HALISTER1: Brazil ‘No-News, Good-News’ Period May End in Early 2017: Mirae

Brazil ‘No-News, Good-News’ Period May End in Early 2017: Mirae

(Bloomberg) -- Absence of news, partially due to a temporary recess in Congress and Top Court, brings political relief, is enough to bolster BRL in near term amid a scenario of wide gap between local and external rates, Olavo Souza, FI trader at Mirae Corretora says in a phone interview.
  • BRL fluctuating with no solid trend this Monday vs USD reflects low liquidity with holidays in global major financial centers such as New York, London
  • Relief brought by absence of news is likely to end in early 2017, with Brazil political life returning and U.S. President-elect Trump preparing for his inauguration
    • Such risks may prevent BCB from speeding up further the pace of rate cuts to 75bps in January and February; rather, it’s more likely to cut Selic by 50bps
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Olavo Souza (Mirae Asset Securities Brazil Exchange Broker Securities Ltd)

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