HALISTER1: Brazil’s Real May Get Boost From BCB’s Zero-Swaps Goal: CA

Brazil’s Real May Get Boost From BCB’s Zero-Swaps Goal: CA

(Bloomberg) -- Central bank President Goldfajn’s aim to reduce its stock of swaps to zero from ~$60b may be a bullish rather than bearish signal for BRL, Vladimir Caramaschi, strategist at Credit Agricole Indosuez, says in a phone interview.
  • BCB’s signal reinforces view the bank’s goal is only to cut swaps holdings, not to interfere in the FX rate, Caramaschi says
    • Recent BRL gains show combined impact of external low- rates post-Brexit scenario with local optimism on reforms to be held by acting President Temer
    • Reports on expected election of new Lower House president aren’t concerning for markets; while PMDB’s Castro could be more risky for Temer plans, the more pro-government Rosso and Maia are favorites to win
  • NOTE: BCB’s goal was one of the remarks made by Goldfajn in a interview to FT; BCB’s head also said he could rely more on Brazil’s foreign exchange reserves to provide confidence to the markets
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
Vladimir Caramaschi (Credit Agricole Brasil SA DTVM/Brazil)
Ilan Goldfajn (Banco Central do Brasil)
Michel Temer (Federative Republic of Brazil)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283