HALISTER1: Buy EUR Long-End Receivers vs Selling JPY Gamma Rally: SG

Buy EUR Long-End Receivers vs Selling JPY Gamma Rally: SG

(Bloomberg) -- Collapse of JPY long-maturity rates has widened the EUR/JPY 30y spread, which is likely to favor Japanese investors’ re-balancing abroad, Societe Generale strategist Vincent Chaigneau writes in client note.
  • Value in buying EUR long-tail receivers vs JPY after the recent increase in JPY long-tail gamma
    • Buy EUR 2m30y ATMF receivers vs JPY 2m30y ATMF receivers, PV01 and FX-weighted
  • Augmented ECB purchases, positive cash flows and looming risks are supportive for EUR long end
  • Next bullish bonds wave is thus likely to benefit EUR long- maturity rates relative to JPY, contrary to the most recent move but in line with long-term correlations
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Vincent Chaigneau (Societe Generale SA)

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