HALISTER1: Buy Local China, Indian Bonds Before They Mainstream: HSBC Asset

Buy Local China, Indian Bonds Before They Mainstream: HSBC Asset

(Bloomberg) -- Global investors should consider buying bonds of domestic Chinese and Indian markets to boost risk-adjusted returns before investing in both markets becomes more common, according to Geoff Lunt, senior fixed-income product specialist at HSBC Global Asset Management, in a report.
  • China and India now account for 0% of GBI-EM, Citi WGBI and “tiny” exposure in Barclays Global Agg index: report
  • “Both markets are similar in structure to those more familiar to global investors,” Lunt
    • Sovereign bonds are issued across the yield curve with also spread products in quasi-sovereign, state-backed undertakings and corporate bonds available
    • Liquidity in the sovereign markets is generally good, given the large size and trading volumes
  • Lunt points out that both markets “are not well correlated to the global risk appetite which can result in wholesale allocation away from emerging markets during times of stress”
    • “Both have independent and uncorrelated interest rate cycles, which can add to the stability of returns of a global portfolio over time”
  • Comparatively higher yields, the potential inclusion of China bond market into global fixed-income indexes, and Indian government’s push for supply side reform are also reasons to increase allocations in these two bond markets: Lunt
    • Sees around $150b of demand for China’s onshore bond market once it gets included into main global indexes
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Geoffrey Lunt (HSBC Global Asset Mgmt)
Geoff Lunt (HSBC Global Asset Management Hong Kong Ltd/HK)

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