HALISTER1: Credit Suisse Recommends UST 2s30s Steepeners, Cites Seasonals

Credit Suisse Recommends UST 2s30s Steepeners, Cites Seasonals

(Bloomberg) -- Treasury 2s30s curve at ~140bp is near lows of past two years, and has “a strong steepening bias in the first half of September,” probably because of seasonal surge in investment-grade corporate issuance, Credit Suisse strategists Praveen Korapaty and Jonathan Cohn say in note.
  • Fundamentally, steepeners should benefit from lower odds of a federal govt shutdown, which has the potential to impair hurricane relief
  • Seasonal increase in corporate issuance also is likely to narrow swap spreads; 10y swap spreads have tightened by 4bp on avg in September over last five years, and may exceed that this year if Treasuries cheapen into debt-ceiling drop-dead date
To contact the reporter on this story: Elizabeth Stanton in New York at estanton@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Boris Korby at bkorby1@bloomberg.net Vivien Lou Chen

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Jonathan Cohn (Credit Suisse Group AG)
Praveen Korapaty (Credit Suisse Group AG)

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