HALISTER1: EU CREDIT DAILY: Cash Bonds Shine; BP, B/E, BAT Mixed Earnings

EU CREDIT DAILY: Cash Bonds Shine; BP, B/E, BAT Mixed Earnings

(Bloomberg) -- Credit-market sentiment remains susceptible to macro headlines and commodity-price gyrations. But while equities, iTraxx indexes may show consequent volatility, the relative outperformance of cash corporate bonds highlights the fundamental value and buy-and-hold nature of the latter asset class, Bloomberg strategist Simon Ballard writes.
  • Many investors increasingly uncomfortable with compressed level of yields, spreads; encourages increased risk exposure
    • Primary corporate credit mkt may be increasingly aware of need to avoid negative yields to ensure success; Unilever pricing yday
  • EU’s Guersent says ECB corporate-bond buying will boost issuance; could take sheen off demand/supply dynamics
  • Corporate and sector event risk a clear reminder of underlying fragility of macroeconomic backdrop: Brexit polemic, U.S. rates outlook, British Home Stores administration
    • Default risk highlighted by 1MDB default on 5.75% 2022 bond due to dispute over coupon payment
  • Risk Appetite Model remains solidly underpinned for now at least
  • CDX IG currently +0.7bps at 74.63 in overnight session; iTraxx Asia Ex Japan IG is currently +0.2bps at 140.90
NEWS
  • Corporate News
  • BP Profit Falls 80% as Oil Prices Drop; Result Beats Estimates
  • Bayer Profit Beats Estimates as Newest Drugs Buoy Demand
  • BAT First-Quarter Sales Beat Estimates on Market Share Gains
  • Cobham Warns on FY Underlying Trading Profit, Plans Rights Issue
  • Whitbread FY Revenue In Line; Confident of Progress This Year
  • B/E Aerospace Boosts 2016 Outlook as 1Q EPS, Rev. Beat Estimates
  • Countrywide Says Encouraged by Strong 1Q, Maintains FY Outlook
  • Financial News
  • Van Lanschot 1Q Profit Drops 52%; AUM Rise on Net Inflow
  • Swedbank Profit Stagnated Last Quarter as New CEO Takes Helm
  • St James’s Place FUM Rises, Net FUM Inflow Increases
  • Deutsche Bank Board Members Will Seek Thoma Resignation: FAZ
  • Credit Rating News
  • S&P Assigns ’A-3’ Rtg To Kraft Heinz Prop. CP Prog
  • Other News
  • MUFG Sees Bosses Orders Behind Tripling of Japan Long-Bond Sales
  • Fed to Keep Options Open for June Rate Hike: Decision-Day Guide
ANALYST VIEWS
  • Unilever...new issue premiums (were) higher at the front end versus the existing curve, because anything (much) less and they would potentially be offering a bond with a negative yield. No one wants that, literally: creditmarketdaily.com
NEW ISSUES
  • JPMorgan Chase EU1.5b 10.5Y Senior MS +88
  • Unilever EU1.5b 4Y, 8Y, 12Y Bonds
  • ABB Finance EU700m 7Y MS +35
  • CFF EU1b 9/2024 Covered MS +9
  • Rhineland-Pfalz EU150m 0.125% 3/2023 Tap MS -9
  • European IG credit pipeline here and HY credit pipeline here
  • Issuers exposed to S-T rollover and interest-rate reset risk here
  • NOTE: Simon Ballard is a credit strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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BP/ LN (BP PLC)

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