HALISTER1: EU CREDIT DAILY: Looking for Volume; Mitsubishi Jumps, CBA Gains

EU CREDIT DAILY: Looking for Volume; Mitsubishi Jumps, CBA Gains

(Bloomberg) -- Traders will be hoping for a pick-up in activity after holidays, elections and release of key macro data damped volumes last week, Bloomberg strategist Simon Ballard writes.
  • Underlying demand for yield and the buy-and-hold nature of the cash credit market certainly still evident, even if technicals may now favor defensive bias and outperformance of euro investment-grade debt over high yield
  • Greece may be back in spotlight this week; Euro-area finance ministers meet to discuss aid impasse
    • Social unrest rising, could trigger renewed spike in risk aversion, higher govt yields
  • Asian equities mixed overnight; suggests cautious opening for EUR credit this week
    • Focus on primary market as secondary market liquidity remains lackluster; market to also remain susceptible to corp earnings headlines this week
  • Risk Appetite Model shows drift higher in spread dispersion, but volatilty contained
  • CDX IG closed -0.3bps at 84.85 in overnight session; iTraxx Asia Ex Japan IG is currently -0.4bps at 145.76
NEWS
  • Corporate News
  • Mitsubishi Heavy Shares Jump on Optimistic Profit Forecast
  • AngloGold Keeps FY Output Forecast; 1Q Ebitda Falls, Debt Drops
  • Asics Posts Profit Gain for 1Q, Maintains Full-Year Targets
  • Air Arabia First-Quarter Profit Surges 42%, Tops Estimates
  • G4S 1Q Continuing Businesses Rev Rises 4.5% to GBP1.51b
  • Financial News
  • Commonwealth Bank Profit Gains 4.5%, Bad-Debt Charges Rise
  • Sumitomo Corp. Misses Profit Target And Warns of Uncertainty
  • China Banks May Need to Raise Capital for Bad Loan ABS: Fitch
  • Credit Rating News
  • Alibaba’s FY 2016 Results Support A1 Ratings: Moody’s
  • NAB Sees Higher Risk S&P Will Put Australia on Negative Outlook
  • Argentina Raised to B- From SD by S&P, Outlook Stable
  • Other News
  • Brexit Battle Rages in Week of Bigwig Barrage on Economic Risks
  • Greece Fights to Unlock Aid as Impasse Risks Political Unrest
  • KKR to Babson Swoop in to Fill Asian Lending Gap Left by Banks
ANALYST VIEWS
  • Corporate bond spreads, yields and returns are going lower. They offer a more enticing pick-up versus govies, with supportive metrics and very low default rates...some kind of nirvana for borrowers - with better funding costs to come: creditmarketdaily.com
NEW ISSUES
  • Inovyn Finance EU300m 5NC1.5 notes 6.25%/6.50%
  • European IG credit pipeline here and HY credit pipeline here
  • Issuers exposed to S-T rollover and interest-rate reset risk here
  • NOTE: Simon Ballard is a credit strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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