HALISTER1: EU CREDIT DAILY: Macro, Brexit Headwinds; Deutsche Bond Probe

EU CREDIT DAILY: Macro, Brexit Headwinds; Deutsche Bond Probe

(Bloomberg) -- European credit markets show increasingly bifurcated trends with synthetic indexes buffeted by Brexit and macroeconomic headwinds, while cash bonds are underpinned by ECB CSPP buying, Bloomberg strategist Simon Ballard writes.
  • Weak Asian equity markets overnight may set tone for European open; sentiment increasingly fragile on macro outlook, negative yields, sustainability of current risk- asset valuations
  • GBP corporate credit shrugging off Brexit uncertainty for now, but volatility may rise again in run-up to June 23 vote
    • A close result could be worst-case scenario for GBP corporate credit mkt; no clear mandate for “Remain” or “Leave” could mean market and risk appetite will be dogged by long-term political and economic uncertainty
  • Risk Appetite model continues to highlight resilience of corp credit asset class to current macro and geopolitical challenges
  • CDX IG closed +0.3bps at 75.75 in overnight session; iTraxx Asia Ex Japan IG currently -0.9bps at 139.42
NEWS
  • Corporate News
  • Fuller Smith FY Adj. Pretax Up 12%, YTD LFL Sales Up 2.7%
  • U.K. Grocers Fight Discounters With Ramadan Pitch to Muslims
  • Sainsbury CFO Rogers to Replace Home Retail CEO Walden
  • Statoil Ends Exploration Drilling Campaign Offshore Newfoundland
  • Gas Natural Joins Race to Buy T-Solar
  • Turk Telekom Fined 34m Liras By Turkey’s Antitrust Board
  • SAS 2Q Sales Below Est.; Maintains FY Guidance
  • Financial News
  • UniCredit to Choose New CEO Within 2 Months: Chairman in Sole
  • Banks in Europe Face More Declines in Nordic Analysis of Risks
  • Whistle-Blower Said to Aid SEC in Deutsche Bank Bond Probe
  • Credit Rating News
  • S&PGR Afms Rtgs On Marubeni, Removes Rtgs From CreditWatch Neg
  • Moody’s: Indian Public Sector Banks Face High Capital Needs
  • Fitch: Japan Banks’ Profitability Pressured By Multiple Headwinds
  • Other News
  • Pimco Total Return Adds Treasuries as Global Bond Market Surges
  • El-Erian Yen Nightmare Helps Send Japan Bond Yields to New Lows
  • ECB Doesn’t Need New Stimulus to Reach Goal, Council Member Says
  • Puerto Rico Debt-Crisis Plan Passes House in Bipartisan Vote
ANALYST VIEWS
  • ECB is buying and spreads are (or will be) going tighter -- everywhere. The pain always comes. We won’t see it. We will just feel it when it does: creditmarketdaily.com
NEW ISSUES
  • ASB Finance EU500m 4Y MS +60
  • Bunge priced EU600m 7Y bonds at MS +170
  • CADES EU600m 0.5% 5/2023 Tap FRTR +9
  • DVB Bank EU500m 7Y MS +115
  • EIB EU350m 0.375% 3/2022 Tap MS -23
  • Ipsen EU300m 7Y MS +180
  • Outokumpu EU250m 5NC2 Senior Secured 7.25%
  • UBI EU250m 1% 1/2023 Covered Tap MS +13
  • Evraz $500m 1/2022 Reg S Notes 6.75%
  • Tereos EU400m 7Y 4.25%
  • European IG credit pipeline here and HY credit pipeline here
  • Issuers exposed to S-T rollover and interest-rate reset risk here
  • NOTE: Simon Ballard is a credit strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
  • NOTE: EU CREDIT DAILY won’t be published June 14-16; regular coverage will resume Friday, June 17.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
John Rogers (J Sainsbury PLC)
John Walden (Home Retail Group PLC)

Topics
Leveraged Finance

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