HALISTER1: EU CREDIT DAILY: Macro Optimism; Total Loss, Standard Bk Growth

EU CREDIT DAILY: Macro Optimism; Total Loss, Standard Bk Growth

(Bloomberg) -- Credit market sentiment appears to have swung 180 degrees, from fearing the prospect of a second- or third-quarter FOMC rate hike to embracing it. After risk assets weakened in early May, we are firmly back in risk-on mode, at least for now, Bloomberg strategist Simon Ballard writes.
  • Risk assets are buoyed by the hawkish idea of strengthening macroeconomic fundamentals; Asia credit firm overnight
    • However, the market’s susceptibility to near-term event risk is still elevated; U.S. rates, U.K. EU membership referendum may carry extreme market volatility risk in coming weeks
  • Greece debt agreement in principle is a clear fillip for the EUR credit mkt; but longer-term debt sustainability may still be in doubt, creating a “buy the rumor, sell the fact” moment for some investors
  • Risk Appetite model shows spreads grinding tighter but with increased volatility
  • CDX IG closed -0.7bps at 77.03 in overnight session; iTraxx Asia Ex Japan IG currently -2.1bps at 141.19
NEWS
  • Corporate News
  • Total Reports Flow Loss at Bacton Seal U.K. Gas Terminal Site
  • Tate & Lyle FY Revenue, Adjusted EPS Ahead of Estimates
  • Daily Mail 1H Profit Falls; Results Hit by Weak Print Ads Market
  • Uniqa 1Q Profit Halves on Investment Income; Outlook Confirmed
  • Darty 4Q Like-for-Like Rev. Rises 12%
  • Financial News
  • Standard Bank 4-Month Expense Growth Exceeds Income Growth
  • Alliance Financial 4Q Net Rises to 129.8m Rgt vs 93.3m Rgt Y/y
  • Senior Bondholders Added to Bail-In Buffer in Danish Experiment
  • Suncorp Falls Most in Three Months After Analysts Downgrade
  • Credit Rating News
  • Australia Banks Asset Quality to Come Under Pressure: Moody’s
  • S&PGR Rates Nykredit Realkredit’s Proposed Tier 3 Notes ’BBB+’
  • Macau Economy Seen at Risk as Moody’s Downgrades Gaming Hub
  • Other News
  • Greece’s Journey to Redemption Remains a Long One After Aid Deal
  • Bank Indonesia Prepares Rules to Allow Structured Products
ANALYST VIEWS
  • Rising markets usually lift confidence, encourage more risk- taking and can boost activity. That’s not the case right now, though as we don’t see enough fundamental economic improvements anywhere to justify sharply rising markets: creditmarketdaily.com
NEW ISSUES
  • Affordable Housing Finance GBP161m 2.893% Tap UKT +35
  • Bright Food EU400m 3Y MS +185
  • Castilla Y Leon EU400m 5Y Interp. SPGB +28
  • China Development Bank EU1b 5Y MS +60
  • Credit Mutuel Arkea EU500m 10Y Tier 2 MS +270
  • Credit Agricole EU1b 12/2022 MS +63
  • Danske Bank EU1b 7Y MS +62
  • Erste Group Bank EU500m PNC5.5 With 8.875% Coupon
  • HeidelbergCement EU750m 8Y MS +205
  • Immob. Grande Distribuzione EU300m 5Y MS +250
  • JCDecaux EU750m 7Y MS +80
  • State of Berlin EU250m 0.75% 9/2023 Tap MS -9
  • Hoist Kredit EU250m 12/2019 3.125%
  • European IG credit pipeline here and HY credit pipeline here
  • Issuers exposed to S-T rollover and interest-rate reset risk here
  • NOTE: Simon Ballard is a credit strategist who writes for Bloomberg. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Topics
Leveraged Finance

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