HALISTER1: EU RATES OUTLOOK: Light Supply Skewed to Long End; Data Light

EU RATES OUTLOOK: Light Supply Skewed to Long End; Data Light

(Bloomberg) -- Supply drops off sharply, with long-end auctions from Germany, Belgium and U.K., while a lack of peripheral supply may tempt Spain to issue a new 10y via syndication, as some in the market expect.
  • Data is light for the week, with focus on flash PMI releases on June 23. ECB’s Lautenschlaeger speaks on June 19, followed by Coeure on June 20
  • In the U.K., Brexit negotiations get under way on June 19, with a press conference around 5pm London
  • There are some market expectations for a new Spain 10y syndicated issue. Rising speculation saw the sector underperform on the curve and widen vs Italy on Friday; Commerzbank expects the deal next week, for EU8b
  • SUPPLY/REDEMPTIONS: Auction supply may total EU4.2b, equivalent to around EU7m/bp or 45k bund futures in risk terms
    • June 19: Belgium to sell to 0.5% 10/2024, 0.8% 06/2027, 1.6% 06/2047 for EU2.7-3.2b
    • June 13: Germany to sell 2.5% 07/2044 for EU1b
    • There are no redemptions due, though coupons from Belgium (EU2.3b) and France (EU0.2b) are set to be repaid, according to Citi
  • U.K. are due to sell 1.5% 07/2047 for GBP2.25b on June 22; there are no gilt cash flows eligible for re- investment
    • NOTE: Auction calendar is ECO20 WE
To contact the reporter on this story: Stephen Spratt in London at sspratt3@bloomberg.net

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
2539Z GR (European Central Bank)

To de-activate this alert, click here
To modify this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283