Indonesian Bonds Rally Ahead of BI’s New Framework: BofAML
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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(Bloomberg) -- Based on examples of other monetary policy frameworks, it is likely that the lending and deposit facilities are kept at 7-day repo +/- x bps spread, where x is decided by Bank Indonesia, analysts at BofAML write in note Wednesday.
Alert: HALISTER1- NOTE: BI said to adopt reverse repo as benchmark rate
- Three main developments to watch out for:
- If the lending rate does come off substantially, this would be bullish for bonds
- If the lending facility rate in the new framework does come off, it could put more pressure on local banks to ease rates
- If overnight interbank market does jump from current levels of 4.8%/4.9% to 7-day repo levels of 5.5%, cost of funds for smaller banks, who are short of funds, will increase
- To ensure that monetary policy transmission is better in the new framework, it is essential the overnight rate does not deviate too much from the 7-day repo rate
- 10-year govt bond yields down 4 bps to 7.456%
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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UUID: 7947283