HALISTER1: INSIDE ASIA: Brexit-Driven FX Slide Continues; Weak Yuan Fixing

INSIDE ASIA: Brexit-Driven FX Slide Continues; Weak Yuan Fixing

(Bloomberg) -- Asian currencies extend declines following U.K. vote to leave EU; safe-haven yen and Indian rupee the only gainers; yuan falls as China weakens yuan reference rate most since Aug. 13.
  • Dollar Index continues to rise, adding 0.8% to Friday’s 2.1% advance
  • Trading in EM markets appears extremely thin, exacerbating price moves, says Tsutomu Soma, Tokyo-based general manager of fixed-income at SBI Securities; Brexit concerns continue to stoke risk-off sentiment
  • Deteriorating risk sentiment likely to dominate mkt in coming sessions, Scotiabank says in note today; watching for continued portfolio outflows that could further weaken regional currencies
  • Onshore yuan extends decline to third day; at lowest since Dec. 2010; PBOC weakens CNY reference rate 0.91%; offshore yuan also down for third day, at weakest since Jan. 11
    • In speech at World Economic Forum in Tianjin, Premier Li says China can keep yuan exchange rate stable
    • China has tools to cope with post-Brexit turbulence and should limit intervention, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank head Jin Liqun said in interview Sunday
    • PBOC said Friday it has plans to cope with Brexit, without elaborating
    • PBOC likely to ease policy via more RRR cuts, Macquiarie says
    • Brexit poses considerable uncertainty for offshore RMB business in Europe, CICC says
    • May industrial co. profits +3.7% y/y vs +4.2% in April
  • Aussie falls 0.7% to 0.7414; could trade below 0.74 today on Brexit-inspired risk aversion, Wetspac said in note earlier; targets below 0.72 over 1-3 mos. as further RBA easing will be negative for currency
  • Kiwi down 0.8% following 1.7% drop Friday; New Zealand trade surplus unexpectedly widens to NZD$358m in May vs est. NZ$182m
  • Korean won at weakest since June 3; govt ready to take “bold measures” to stabilize mkts, Finance Minister Yoo says; BOK Governor Lee will hold high-level meeting to consider post-Brexit measures, according to statement
  • Malaysian ringgit slides as much as 1.9% as oil weakens; ringgit and won most heavily impacted of EM Asia currencies by Brexit: Macquarie; highly liquid Singapore dollar also impacted
  • Singapore dollar down 0.4% following 1.2% drop Friday
  • Taiwan dollar extends declines; Goldman Sachs now expects central bank to cut rate by 12.5b bps from 1.5% on June 30
  • Yen extends gains for second day following 3.9% rally Friday; fell vs dollar from 8-9am, but then strengthened again
    • Asia-based FX trader says leveraged funds selling dollar as weakening in yuan spurs risk-off in mkt
    • Finance Minister Aso says PM Abe asked for various measures to stabilize markets, issued instructions to ensure liquidity
    • Key USD/JPY support at 100 has already breifly given way, and more downside is in store, Macquarie says in note; wouldn’t chase bellow 100 though given risk of BOJ intervention and strong possibility of further easing on July 29; look for FX pair to settle at 100 for coming weeks
  • Rupee rises 0.2% after 1.1% drop on Friday; rebounds from early losses as state-run banks seen selling dollars, according to three Mumbai-based traders
    • “The early dollar selling by state-run banks on the central bank’s behalf is likely to prevent the rupee from falling sharply,” RBL Bank’s head of FX trading Rohan Lasrado says
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Rohan Lasrado
Tsutomu Soma (Softbank Corp)

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