HALISTER1: INSIDE ASIA: China PMI Crushes Forecast; BOJ Holds; RBA Awaited

INSIDE ASIA: China PMI Crushes Forecast; BOJ Holds; RBA Awaited

(Bloomberg) -- Most Asian currencies strengthen, led by KRW, NZD and MYR, after China manufacturing PMI jumps to 2-year high.
  • Yen weakens after BOJ maintains policy; follow rolling coverage here
  • RBA due to announce cash rate target at 2:30pm Sydney time
  • Bonds in region steady
  • Onshore yuan heads for first 2-day gain vs dollar in 6 weeks
    • Offshore yuan pared loss after data but has since weakened 0.1%
    • China Oct. manufacturing PMI at 51.2 vs 50.3 est. and 50.4 prior; non-manufacturing PMI beats September and Caixin manufacturing PMI tops est.
    • Strong PMI reading supportive of Asian regional trading partner currencies, particularly AUD, KRW and TWD, says RBS
    • PMI may lift China 10-year govt bond yield to 3%: Commerzbank
    • New export orders PMI dropped to 49.2, signaling weak global demand; Natixis says PBOC may keep weak yuan bias to counter that soft demand
  • Yen weakens 0.1% to 104.94 per dollar as BOJ refrains from easing
    • BOJ says risks to economic activity and prices are skewed to downside; cuts inflation forecasts
    • November bond purchase plan may get more attention for signs of reduction in buying of super-long term debt; plan to be released at 5pm Tokyo time
    • AUD/JPY could retreat to 78.074 level near term as pair fails to breach 200-DMA resistance: Analysis
  • Aussie gains for third day before RBA decision
    • RBA will leave its benchmark rate unchanged, according to 22 of 28 economists surveyed by Bloomberg; remainder expect 25bps cut
    • BNP Paribas expects RBA to send somewhat dovish message and avoid providing catalyst for further AUD gains
  • Won strengthens as much as 0.5% vs dollar
    • S. Korea CPI +1.3% y/y in October, highest since February; est. +1.1%
    • October exports -3.2% y/y vs -3.1% est., imports -5.4% vs -4.4% est.
    • Prosecutors detain Choi Soon-sil, who is at center of an influence-peddling scandal involving President Park: Yonhap News
    • Korean scandal a blow for president, but not economy: Capital Economics
  • Ringgit swings to a gain after China manufacturing PMI
    • Malaysia likely to report weaker trade number this week, which will maintain pressure on MYR, CIMB writes in note; trade data due Nov. 4
  • Rupiah advances for a second day
    • Indonesia CPI est. +3.3% y/y in October vs +3.07% in September, according to Bloomberg survey before data today; no time specified for data release
    • USD/IDR may be capped at 50-DMA if CPI quickens: Analysis
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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