HALISTER1: INSIDE ASIA: Currencies Jump as Dollar Drops on Doubts About Fed

INSIDE ASIA: Currencies Jump as Dollar Drops on Doubts About Fed

(Bloomberg) -- Asian currencies advance across the board, led by Korean won and Malaysian ringgit, as greenback retreats amid renewed doubts about near-term hikes from the Fed.
  • Bloomberg’s dollar index has now given back all gains from last week’s strong jobs report and is testing Aug. lows; a surprise drop in U.S. worker productivity has added pressure
  • EM currency carry trades could still be the theme to play, given accommodative monetary conditions, says Maybank
  • Korean won jumps 1.2%, setting 14-month high ahead of tomorrow’s BOK meeting
    • FX authorities are closely monitoring market and may take stabilizing measures if there’s excess volatility or herd-like behavior, says a BOK official
    • Won’s break below the June 2015 low near 1,100 may set up a test of April 2015 low near 1,065, BBH wrote in a note yesterday; spot now at 1,092
    • Yield on 10-year note declines 4 bps to 1.39%, according to Korea Exchange data
  • Yuan gains 0.2%
    • Given dollar weakness overnight, USD/CNY is to see some pressure today, and earlier gains in CNH are in line with Asian peers’ strength, says Maybank
    • Yield on China’s 10-year sovereign bond is down 1 bp at 2.71%, near lowest since January 2009
    • Abundant liquidity due to increasing trade surplus, maturing central bank notes and OMO injection should keep bond market supported, SWS Research writes
  • Aussie rises for a third day as local sovereigns rally
    • Outgoing RBA Gov. Stevens says it will take more than rate cuts to spur stronger growth, and fiscal side must do its part
    • June home-loan approvals rose 1.2% m/m vs est 2.3%
  • Yen climbs for a second day; Nikkei 225 reverses early losses
    • BOJ may consider setting a bond-purchase range of 70t-90t yen per year instead of current 80t yen in policy review next month, Sankei reports
    • Without major data or news to trade on during summer holiday, USD/JPY is unlikely to have a clear direction in near term, says Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.
  • Baht set for third day of gains as overseas investors continue to buy local equities
    • Global investors bought net $151m of Thai equities yesterday, adding to Aug. 8 inflows that were biggest in four months: exchange data
    • Second-quarter GDP will probably continue to show q/q improvement, Maybank Kim Eng Securities said in note yesterday; sees 3.5% y/y growth, up from 3.2% in 1Q
  • Ringgit strengthens past 4.0 per dollar as Brent crude climbs above $45/bbl
    • Bank Negara Malaysia to leave rates unchanged at 3.00% in 2016 and 2017, according median forecast in Bloomberg survey
  • Philippine peso strengthens
    • June exports fell 11.4% y/y vs est. drop 12.5%
    • Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas is forecast to leave its overnight borrowing rate at 3.00% at its meeting tomorrow, according to all economists in Bloomberg survey
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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