HALISTER1: INSIDE ASIA: FX, Bonds Drop as Yellen Seeks Slow Tightening

INSIDE ASIA: FX, Bonds Drop as Yellen Seeks Slow Tightening

(Bloomberg) -- Regional currencies broadly sell off versus dollar after after Fed’s Yellen signaled monetary policy will slowly tighten; Aussie and won underperform while kiwi outperforms.
  • People expect Fed to raise rates in Dec., and dollar strength reflects relative attractiveness of U.S. assets, says Hongsup Shin, head of fixed income at Truston Asset Management
    • NOTE: Yellen said Friday there are “plausible ways” that running the economy hot for a while could repair some damage caused to growth during the recession; see roundup of analyst reactions in Asia
  • Asian bonds are broadly lower, following a Friday decline in the 10-year U.S. Treasury: Australia’s 10-year yield adds 5 bps to 2.31%, while same tenor yield in Korea climbs 7 bps to 1.62%
  • NZD gains ahead of 3Q inflation data due tomorrow
    • Kiwi’s 2016 uptrend may be vulnerable if N.Z. inflation misses tomorrow; see analysis
  • Aussie heads for first drop in four days
    • AUD/JPY sell flow has weighed on AUD and brought onto the radar some AUD/NZD sell, traders say
    • Nordea’s $22b flagship fund has started to buy sterling against Aussie and kiwi
  • Yen declines as BOJ’s Kuroda reaffirms commitment to accommodative policy
    • The BOJ will continue easing until 2% inflation is stable, according to text of a speech to BOJ branch managers’ meeting
    • BOJ is said to consider reducing FY17 price growth forecast, Nikkei reported on Oct. 15
    • USD/JPY will be driven by dollar trends in the absence of Japanese events this week, CBA writes in note today
  • China’s yuan heads to a seventh day of declines as PBOC sets fixing to weakest since Sept. 2010
    • PBOC fixing shows greater tolerance of USD/CNY strength: Natixis
    • China should keep prudent, neutral monetary environment, says PBOC-backed Financial News in a front-page commentary
  • Korea’s won drops
    • Property-price fall may hit China’s financial stability, China Securities Journal reports
    • Korea mulls tighter mortgage rules to curb household debt: Korea Economic Daily
    • BOK officials to speak at financial conference in Seoul at 2pm local
  • Singapore dollar drops for a second day
    • Sept. non-oil domestic exports fell 4.8% y/y vs est. drop 5.8%
  • Baht weakens with regional peers after gaining in past two sessions
    • Cabinet will meet as scheduled tomorrow, with govt spokesman saying yesterday that national development efforts will continue
    • Morgan Stanley said in Oct. 16 note that it expects GDP growth of 2.9% for 2016 and 3.0% for 2017
  • Indonesia’s rupiah falls
    • Exports may have increased 0.50% y/y in Sept. while imports climbed 4.23%, leaving a trade surplus of $589m, according to Bloomberg surveys before data due 11am local time
    • Indonesia’s first export growth in 2 yrs may cap USD/IDR; see analysis
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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