HALISTER1: INSIDE G-10: AUD, MXN Battered as U.S. Election Race Tightens

INSIDE G-10: AUD, MXN Battered as U.S. Election Race Tightens

(Bloomberg) -- Global risk aversion theme sends investors scuttling into CHF, JPY and EUR while AUD, MXN and KRW tumbles after ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll showed Trump in lead over Clinton. Kiwi bucks trend as jobs data suggest RBNZ may be done with rate cuts after its next decision; story here
  • Treasury 10-year yield down 1bp to 1.817%; S&P 500 futures falls for third day, down 0.3%
  • 370 economists released a letter on Tuesday explaining why electing Donald Trump would be a mistake; see story here
  • AUD/USD -0.33% to 0.7627 vs 0.7613-0.7659 range
    • Fast money turning risk-off as MXN weakens, traders say
    • AUD/JPY sold by hedge funds, banks as equities slide
  • NZD/USD +0.49% to 0.7219 vs 0.7181-0.7222 range
    • Kiwi surged through overnight high, option selling at 0.7200 on release of solid 3Q employment data, trader says
    • Bank of New Zealand sees rate cut next week, but no longer in 2017 following stronger-than-expected labor market data and a spike in global dairy prices; story here
    • New Zealand 3Q unemployment rate at 4.9% vs est. 5.1%
  • BBDXY falls for fourth day, down 0.01% to 1,204.60
  • USD/JPY -0.36% to 103.78 vs 103.67-104.17 range
    • Selling is led by Asia-based leveraged accounts, partly in conjunction with selling of Nikkei index futures: trader
    • Trump risk, lower oil prices weigh on USD/JPY, IG Markets says
  • GBP/USD little changed at 1.2239 vs 1.2221-1.2247 range
    • Hard Brexit likely given U.K., EU politics, Menon says
    • U.K. Chancellor said eyeing flexible autumn budget: FT
  • NOTE: Mark Cranfield is an FX strategist who writes for First Word. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice.
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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