HALISTER1: INSIDE G-10: Kiwi Jumps, Ignoring RBNZ Rate Cut and Guidance

INSIDE G-10: Kiwi Jumps, Ignoring RBNZ Rate Cut and Guidance

(Bloomberg) -- Kiwi surges after RBNZ lowers cash rate by an expected 25 bps and Governor Wheeler concedes he has “very limited influence” on the currency; other G-10 pairs were subdued with Japanese markets closed for a holiday.
  • NZD/USD +0.8% to 0.7263 vs 0.7203-0.7341 range
    • Buying was led by leverage and momentum funds after RBNZ decision, says trader
    • Wheeler tells parliament even if rates were cut by 50 bps, market would want more; he doesn’t believe RBNZ is out of ammunition
    • A shift in RBNZ statement language suggests back-to-back rate cuts are likelier than market expects, says Westpac
    • ANZ Bank now says RBNZ will cut twice more to 1.5%; UBS sees rate cut in Nov.
  • AUD/USD -0.1% to 0.7698 vs 0.7692-0.7750 range
    • Aussie was hammered lower vs kiwi, sending AUD/NZD to a one-week low at 1.0551
  • USD/JPY +0.1% to 101.43 vs 101.03-101.49 range
    • Fed may be more open to raising rates as wages rise: UBS
    • It’s “next to impossible” to make sense of this market, says Gluskin Sheff strategist David Rosenberg
  • BBDXY +0.1% to 1,178.36
  • 10-yr Treasury future -0.1+ to 132-22; UST market begins trading at London open
  • EUR/USD -0.1% to 1.1171 vs 1.1168-1.1192 range
    • IMF says substantial ECB rate cuts would hurt bank profits
  • GBP/USD steady at 1.3013 vs 1.3000-1.3028 range
    • Brexit hits U.K. housing as property sales drop
  • WTI, Brent crude futures and gold all decline; copper gains
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

People
David Rosenberg (Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc)

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