INSIDE INDONESIA: IDR Steady as Scotiabank Warns of Carry Unwind
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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(Bloomberg) -- Rupiah holds steady, halting a 3-day decline in line with firmer Asian currencies, as dollar index falls first time in 4 days.
Alert: HALISTER1- EM Asian currencies and commodity currencies are still susceptible to resurfacing concerns over Fed’s tightening and potential external uncertainty in June including U.K.’s Brexit referendum, Scotiabank says in note today
- Unwinding of carry-trade may weaken high-yielding regional currencies such as INR and IDR
- Stay long IDR bonds with FX hedge, ANZ says in May 20 note
- Hold on to long 15-year bond with entry at 7.86%, target 7.40% and stop-loss 8.10%
- Several local positives for Indonesia which should benefit the IDR duration story, even as IDR is vulnerable to broad USD strength
- Rupiah little changed at 13,605 per dollar
- Yield on 8.375% govt bond due Sept. 2026 increased 6 bps to 7.927% on May 20, according to IDMA data
- Global funds bought net 825b rupiah ($60.7m) of local govt bonds on May 18, second day of inflows: finance ministry data
- They bought net $8.5m in local stocks May 20: exchange data
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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UUID: 7947283