HALISTER1: INSIDE THAILAND: Baht Falls; Thai CDS Spread at Least in a Year

INSIDE THAILAND: Baht Falls; Thai CDS Spread at Least in a Year

(Bloomberg) -- Baht declines; five-year credit-protection costs for Thailand fell 3 bps yesterday to 104 bps, lowest daily close since July 2015, according to CMA data.
  • State enterprise policy committee approves investment in infrastructure projects including 44.2b baht rail project in Bangkok’s suburbs
  • Baht down 0.2% to 35.170 per dollar
    • USD/THB momentum studies turning higher, a move today above 21-DMA at 35.202 could be bullish signal; click here for chart
  • The new 5-year benchmark bond to be auctioned tomorrow should see reasonable demand from onshore investors while offshore interest will hinge partly on USD/THB, ANZ analysts write in note; sees yield cut-off in 1.70%-1.75% area
    • On valuation, the picture is mixed; 5-year bond is cheap relative to swap but rich along the curve
    • Further yield compression is likely to be more modest going forward, hinging on whether global risk sentiment worsens
  • International funds were net sellers of 1.9b baht ($54.4m) in Thai bonds yesterday, according to Thai Bond Market Association data; net buyers of $17.4m in country’s equities, according to exchange data
  • Yield on 3.85% govt bond due Dec. 2025 steady at 1.892%
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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