HALISTER1: Japan Tax-Hike Delay, Fiscal Steps May Boost Funding Costs: BNP

Japan Tax-Hike Delay, Fiscal Steps May Boost Funding Costs: BNP

(Bloomberg) -- Prospects for fiscal measures and a delay in sales-tax hike in Japan may negatively impact its credit rating, leading to higher funding costs in foreign currencies for Japanese companies, says Tomohisa Fujiki at BNP Paribas.
  • This may be reflected by today’s drop in USD/JPY’s 3-mo. basis swaps to -45.375 bps from -43.000 bps on May 13, says Fujiki, Tokyo-based chief rates strategist, in an interview; adds speculation of fiscal package and postponement in sales-tax increase and some other factors are exerting more steepening pressure on yield curve in a textbook-based reaction, weighing on super-long tenors
  • Tomorrow’s 5-year JGB auction could go smoothly amid expectations of further BOJ easing: Fujiki; says entering a long 5-year ASW (buying cash JGBs vs paying IRS) position in the short-term looks attractive
  • NOTE: Japanese PM Abe says fiscal measures may be needed to create demand; Abe has decided to postpone sales-tax increase, Nikkei reported
  • JGB 10-year yield up 0.5 bp at -0.110%, 30-year yield up 1 bp at 0.360%
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Tomohisa Fujiki (BNP Paribas SA)

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