HALISTER1: Keep Buying Big Chinese Pharma as Consolidation Is Due, CS Says

Keep Buying Big Chinese Pharma as Consolidation Is Due, CS Says

(Bloomberg) -- Investors should buy big Chinese pharmaceutical cos. as the sector will consolidate in next five years and drug quality standards will improve, while the market should see double-digit growth in 2019-2021 as insurance coverage expands and new products are approved, Credit Suisse says.
  • Sino Biopharmaceutical Ltd. is top pick, rating upgraded to outperform and PT raised 69% to HK$12 from HK$7.10, analysts led by Serena Shao write in Oct. 31 note
  • Top 10 China pharma cos. should double market share by 2022, while more than 50% of local smaller cos. will be forced out of business due to quality concerns
  • Credit Suisse also likes hospital sector due to rising demand for higher quality services and expansion opportunities from privatization of public hospitals
    • Initiates coverage on China Resources Phoenix Healthcare Holdings Co. with outperform rating and PT of HK$13, implying 26% upside from Monday’s close
  • Other favored big Chinese pharma names include Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co., CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Ltd. and China Medical System Holdings Ltd.; Credit Suisse has outperform ratings on all three
  • Also likes Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co.; has outperform rating on co.’s H shares, neutral on A shares
  • Neutral on distributors
  • NOTE: MSCI China Healthcare Index has risen 5.2% over past month, led by Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical with 18% gain; MSCI China Index +3.6% over same period
  • ALSO: CSI 300 Healthcare Index +8.2% in past month vs +4.2% for CSI 300 Index
  • Read More: China Consumer Stocks Soar as Defensive Ploys Pay Off
To contact the reporter on this story: Will Davies in Hong Kong at wdavies13@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: Robin Ganguly at rganguly1@bloomberg.net Ron Harui, Will Davies

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
1093 HK (CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Ltd)
867 HK (China Medical System Holdings Ltd)
600276 CH (Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co Ltd)
600196 CH (Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group Co Ltd)
1177 HK (Sino Biopharmaceutical Ltd)

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