HALISTER1: MACRO VIEW: A Tragedy That May Heal

MACRO VIEW: A Tragedy That May Heal

(Bloomberg) -- Brexit campaigning will be suspended for a second day and it may give voters and investors an opportunity to pause and reflect on what really matters.
  • Although it could be a while for a motive to be established for the murder of Jo Cox, as the police investigation runs its course, few people will doubt that U.K. society is deeply split on Europe
  • Brexit has been overhanging investment decisions across global markets to such an extent that even a surprisingly dovish FOMC statement this week was mostly ignored
  • The Bank of America Merrill Lynch global fund manager survey for June shows cash levels at 5.7%, the highest since November 2001
  • Financial markets have been running to extremes as investors are bombarded with various doomsday scenarios that may play out after the U.K. referendum
  • Yet, it’s possible that the extremes seen in markets on June 16 will mark a watershed moment
  • Click here to see a chart of sterling volatility which this week touched levels last seen in October 2008
  • Betting odds on the leaving EU may also be peaking; click here for a chart
  • If Britain’s leaders supporting the remain camp use this weekend to effectively focus on the economic arguments, the mood in markets next week may swing positively
  • NOTE: Mark Cranfield is an FX strategist who writes for First Word. The observations he makes are his own and are not intended as investment advice
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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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