HALISTER1: Markets May Be Overreacting to Jochnick QE Comments, Nordea Says

Markets May Be Overreacting to Jochnick QE Comments, Nordea Says

(Bloomberg) -- While Riksbank’s First Deputy Governor Kerstin af Jochnick said Sweden’s central bank could “technically” buy covered, corporate or municipal bonds, such a move could face obstacles, Nordea analyst Martin Enlund says in emailed comments.
  • Investors may be overreacting to these comments, as they did to comments from Floden on purchases of municipal bonds
    • EUR/SEK has reversed losses in the past hour; now up 0.3% to 9.5006
  • Riksbank buying Kommuninvest bonds is something that has been discussed on and off for quite some time
  • Riksbank can still implement more government QE to cover 1H 2017, so unclear if it needs to broaden buying yet
  • The mention of corporate bonds is new; Riksbank hasn’t previously expressed care about levels at which corporates can fund themselves, so shifting policy now seems at odds with past thinking
    • Earlier QE has mainly been concerned with keeping the SEK at bay, and corporate QE is unlikely to help much with that due to the low volumes involved
  • There’s very limited liquidity in corporate bonds with limited issue sizes, which could make it difficult to buy in any volume
  • Such a program could be become politically sensitive; if operational details include only buying more liquid bonds, it could prompt questions why the government is subsidizing some companies in particular
  • NOTE: Jochnick said would need to calculate the effects on the market; for example, buying corporate bonds would require resources to make credit assessments
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
1083Z SS (Sveriges Riksbank)

People
Kerstin Af Jochnick (Sveriges Riksbank)
Martin Enlund (Nordea Bank AB)

To de-activate this alert, click here

UUID: 7947283