HALISTER1: Periphery Widening to Reverse, Stay Overweight BTPs: Commerzbank

Periphery Widening to Reverse, Stay Overweight BTPs: Commerzbank

(Bloomberg) -- Hunt for yield should eventually extend to the periphery, proving the current sell-off temporary, Commerzbank strategists including Benjamin Schroder write in client note.
  • Peripherals were pressured earlier this week, even as ECB QE buying increases, amid the broader risk-off move and home- made delevelopments including Spain’s struggle to form a new govt, Greece’s renewed default concerns and the negative outcome of the Dutch referendum on the Ukraine EU association agreement
  • Stay with preference for BTPs vs the rest of the periphery as the TLTRO 2 should continue to keep investor focus away from bank concerns toward political risks
  • Remain tactically neutral on duration, re-enter longs at 10Y Bund yields above 0.25%
  • Prefer tightener vs Bunds via 10Y DSLs to capture QE dynamics
  • 30Y Austria offers value vs France and Germany
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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