HALISTER1: PHILIPPINES PREVIEW: CPI Seen Below Target Range for 10th Month

PHILIPPINES PREVIEW: CPI Seen Below Target Range for 10th Month

(Bloomberg) -- Impact of El Nino on food prices could keep consumer prices steady in Feb., economists forecasts suggest.
  • Consumer prices probably rose 1.3% y/y, matching rise in Jan., median est. in Bloomberg survey shows; range of ests. from 0.2% to 1.9%; data due 9am local time tomorrow
  • Feb. inflation may be 0.9% to 1.7%, BSP Governor Tetangco said on Feb. 26; will take measures in step with price stability
  • El Nino effect and new round of excise tax could push inflation to 1.4% in Feb., Finance Undersecretary Beltran said on same day, according to Philippine Star
  • Inflation rate seen at 1.5% in 1Q, holding below lower limit of central bank’s 2%-4% target band, another Bloomberg survey shows
  • Total farm losses due to El Nino estimated at 4.8b pesos ($102m) at end-Feb., Agriculture Dept. said yesterday
  • Inflation matched est. in Jan., data released Feb. 5 showed; USD/PHP fell 0.2% to 47.660 that day
  • USD/PHP down 0.4% today to 47.095
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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