PREVIEW MACAU GAMING: June Revenue May Fall to Lowest Since 2010
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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(Bloomberg) -- Macau’s casino regulator plans to report June gross gaming revenue results between July 1-3, according to Gaming Inspection & Coordination Bureau website.
Alert: HALISTER1- NOTE: July 1 is a public holiday in Hong Kong
- Median rev. est. -9.5% y/y to ~15.71b patacas ($1.97b), according to 7 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News
- Est. range -4% to -11.8% y/y
- NOTE: Monthly gross revenue of 15.71b patacas would be the lowest level since Sept. 2010
- NOTE: Monthly GGR has seen y/y declines for past 24 months
- Bernstein (Vitaly Umansky): June typically experiences some of the weakest average daily rate numbers for gross gaming revenue in 1H
- Citi (Anil Daswani): June GGR trends remain weak
- Continuously improving quality of visitors, in terms of playing time, should gradually regenerate mass growth; is a long-term positive for Macau
- JPMorgan (DS Kim): GGR for first 26 days of June came in at average daily revenue of ~520m-530m patacas/day, “meaningfully below” 580m-590m patacas in April/May and 617m patacas in 1Q
- “Somewhat expected” given tighter scrutiny on junket, anti-money laundering rules from mid-May
- Nomura (Harry Curtis): Summer visitation to be hurt by Shanghai Disney, UEFA European Championship
- Summer crowds will probably be largely gone by the time Wynn Palace opens
- Galaxy Entertainment is highest-rated among casino operators listed in BI Macau (China) Gaming Market Index, according to Bloomberg consensus analyst ratings
- SJM Holdings is lowest rated
- 6-member Index -5.1% YTD
- Wynn Macau +22%, MGM China +2.6%, Sands China -4.7%, Galaxy Entertainment -8.4%, SJM -19%, Melco Crown -25%
- June 23: China Anti-Graft Agency to Inspect H.K., Macau Office: SCMP
- June 17: Macau Plans Punishments on Gaming Violations: Regulator
- June 8: Decline in Macau Jan.-May Gaming Rev. Within Expectations: Leong
- June 2: Hidden Earpieces in VIP Rooms Show Macau Money Laundering Risks
- June 2: Gamblers Leave, Junkets Follow as Slump Persists in Macau: Chart
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
Tickers
LVS US (Las Vegas Sands Corp)
1928 HK (Sands China Ltd)
WYNN US (Wynn Resorts Ltd)
27 HK (Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd)
2282 HK (MGM China Holdings Ltd)
People
Anil Daswani (Citigroup Inc)
Ds Kim (JPMorgan Chase Bank NA)
Harry Curtis (Nomura Holdings Inc)
Vitaly Umansky (Sanford C Bernstein & Co Inc)
To de-activate this alert, click here
UUID: 7947283