PREVIEW: UST WI 3Y Yield Above 2 Previous Auction Stops
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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UUID: 7947283
(Bloomberg) -- Current 3Y yield lower by 1.6bp at 0.916% before 1pm ET auction, 18th straight at $24b; WI 3Y yield about 0.935%, above last two 3Y auction stops.
Alert: HALISTER1- Most recent 3Y auction on May 10 drew 0.875%, 1.6bp below WI yield at bidding deadline, biggest stop through by a 3Y sale since 2009 according to Stone & McCarthy; 28.3% primary dealer award was 2nd lowest since 2009
- Current 3Y yield closed at YTD low 0.816% on April 7 amid losses for U.S. stocks and oil and JPY appreciation; it has since traded as high as 1.095% on May 25 amid rising market- implied odds of Fed rate increase this month
- 20 of past 23 3Y auctions stopped through, according to Stone & McCarthy; year-ago auction stopped even with WI yield
- 6-auction averages:
- Bid-to-cover: 2.86 (low 2.71, high 3.14)
- Dealer award: 35.2% (low 27.8%, high 44.7%)
- Direct award: 12.3% (low 9.1%, high 18.6%)
- Indirect award: 52.6% (low 41.5%, high 62.8%)
- Maturing 3Y has $32b outstanding
- Primary dealers’ position in 2Y-3Y sector in week ended May 25 was net short $1.89b vs $5.03b avg net short over past year
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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UUID: 7947283