HALISTER1: PREVIEW: UST WI 3Y Yield Below Two Previous Auction Stops

PREVIEW: UST WI 3Y Yield Below Two Previous Auction Stops

(Bloomberg) -- Current 3Y yield higher by 1.1bp at 0.867% before 1pm ET auction, 17th straight at $24b; WI 3Y bid at about 0.885%, below last two 3Y auction stops.
  • Most recent 3Y auction on April 12 drew 0.890%, 0.3bp below WI yield at bidding deadline, according to Stone & McCarthy; 32.6% primary dealer award was lowest since Jan., second- lowest since 2009
  • Current 3Y yield on March 16 touched 1.197%, highest since Jan. 13, after Feb. core CPI rose more than forecast and oil rose; it closed at new YTD low 0.816% on April 7 amid losses for U.S. stocks and oil and JPY appreciation
  • 19 of past 22 3Y auctions stopped through by as much as 1.1bp, according to Stone & McCarthy; year-ago auction stopped through by 0.9bp
  • 6-auction averages:
    • Bid-to-cover: 2.85 (low 2.71, high 3.14)
    • Dealer award: 37.8% (low 27.8%, high 44.7%)
    • Direct award: 13.1% (low 9.1%, high 18.6%)
    • Indirect award: 49.1% (low 40.8%, high 62.8%)
  • Maturing 3Y has $32b outstanding
  • Primary dealers’ position in 2Y-3Y sector in week ended March 30 was net short $6.9b vs $5.3b avg net short over past year
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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