Raiffeisen Takes Profit on CZK Debt; Poland, Hungary Gains Seen
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
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Stephan Imre (Raiffeisen Bank International AG)
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Emerging Mkts News, Analysis
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UUID: 7947283
(Bloomberg) -- Raiffeisen Bank cuts recommendation on Czech local-currency bonds to hold from buy on a three-month horizon following the securities’ outperformance, as rise in German yields may weigh on rates markets and with further koruna gains seen limited, analysts Stephan Imre and Gintaras Shlizhyus write in report.
- See “some juice left” in long-maturity Hungarian, Polish bonds amid “goldilocks environment” after gains fueled by fading of reflation trade, market-friendly central bank accommodation
- Reiterate preference for Hungarian, Polish debt over Romania where “patience of investors could start to wane mainly due to the elevated fiscal risks amidst an ambitious refinancing plan”
- In Eurobonds:
- Cuts Poland euro-denominated debt to hold from buy after reaching trade target vs Lithuanian debt
- Raises Ukraine USD notes to hold from sell “to limit further losses” amid global emerging-market gains, even while it sees the nation as “one of the fundamentally weakest emerging markets”
- Recommends buying Macedonia on political stabilization, swap from Serbia into Croatia USD notes due to relative cheapness of the Adriatic nation’s securities
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)
People
Stephan Imre (Raiffeisen Bank International AG)
Topics
Emerging Mkts News, Analysis
To de-activate this alert, click here
To modify this alert, click here
UUID: 7947283