HALISTER1: RATES: Low Term Premium Warrants Selling 10s on Curve, BMO Says

RATES: Low Term Premium Warrants Selling 10s on Curve, BMO Says

(Bloomberg) -- Correspondence between New York Fed’s ACM term premium and 5/10/30 butterfly shows that outperformance of 10s on curve “has to do with the fact that markets still aren’t assigning a high probability to a continued series of hikes this year,” BMO strategist Aaron Kohli says in note.
  • “With the modeled term premium series now at an all-time low, selling 10s on curve makes more sense from a longer- term perspective as well as near- to mid-term horizon”
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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Aaron Kohli (Bank of Montreal)

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