HALISTER1: RATES: Yields ‘Still Have a Lot of Room to Fall,’ Barclays Says

RATES: Yields ‘Still Have a Lot of Room to Fall,’ Barclays Says

(Bloomberg) -- UST yields, while historically low, “continue to look high” in a global context, and intermediate yields “still have a lot of room to fall” if U.S. is on verge of a slowdown, Barclays strategists led by Rajiv Setia say in Feb. 25 note.
  • “Pessimism reflected in financial markets globally also seems to be filtering through into the US outlook”
  • Large selloff seems unlikely unless “long-list of risks” (higher energy prices, reduced China concerns, high yield, and negative perceptions on banks) dissipate
  • Correlation across asset classes is high and “given our cautiousness around risky assets, we remain neutral on outright duration”
  • Buy 1x2 6m*10y payer spreads as they offer an “attractive risk reward profile”
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Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Rajiv Setia (Barclays PLC)

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