HALISTER1: Recommend Short Singapore Dollar Via Proxy NEER Basket: Redward

Recommend Short Singapore Dollar Via Proxy NEER Basket: Redward

(Bloomberg) -- Recommend averaging into a short SGD exposure using a basket of five currencies, that doesn’t include China, Peter Redward, principal at Redward Associates, says in an interview.
  • SGD is now around 0.5% above the midpoint of its undisclosed NEER trading band, strongest since June 2015, says Redward
  • Sees MAS SGD NEER declining toward 121.90; suggests adding to short position for every 50bps rise in NEER, with stop- loss at 126.70
  • Redward’s basket includes USD, EUR, JPY, MYR and TWD
  • Also sees SGD 1-year interest-rate swaps falling toward 1.00% in coming weeks; now at 1.4750% vs 1-year USD swaps at 0.7785%
  • USD/SGD up 0.2% to 1.3604; last week touched 8-month low at 1.3487
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Peter Redward (Redward Associates Ltd)

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