HALISTER1: Ruble, Rand Lead EMEA Drop as Fed Stays on Course: Inside EM

Ruble, Rand Lead EMEA Drop as Fed Stays on Course: Inside EM

(Bloomberg) -- Currencies of Russia and South Africa weaken with local bonds after the Federal Reserve affirmed its plan to raise borrowing costs twice more this year.
  • MSCI’s EM indexes of stocks and currencies retreat 0.3% each
  • Yield premium on developing sovereign bonds over U.S. Treasuries decreases 2bps to 295, lowest on closing basis since 2014: JPMorgan Chase indexes
EASTERN EUROPE:
  • RUB declines 0.7% to 57.7650/USD, lowest level in 6 weeks; local bonds due in 2027 fall for 2nd day, yield adds 2bp to 7.62%
    • Finance Ministry to reduce FX purchases starting next week
    • Citi recommends lower-rated Russian corporate bonds for carry
  • Turkey’s lira retreats 0.4%; yield on local bonds due in 2026 climb 7bps to 10.23%; Borsa Istanbul 100 Index falls 0.2%
    • Turkcell heads for biggest drop in 2 years after Telia sold a 7% stake in the company at a discount to market price
    • SocGen recommends Turkey Steepener
ASIA:
  • S. Korean won weakens 0.2%; Kospi Index climbs 1% to record
    • Current account surplus shrank in March
    • NOTE: Country gears up for presidential election May 9
  • Filipino peso advances 0.2%; Philippine Stock Exchange PSEi Index gains 1% to close at highest level in more than 7 months
    • President Rodrigo Duterte’s plan to raise taxes to fund infrastructure projects passed by parliamentary committee, Inquirer reports, but may face delays
AFRICA:
  • ZAR declines 0.7% to lowest level in 3 weeks; local bonds due in 2026 set to end 3-day winning streak, yield rises 6bps to 8.72%
    • Government minister seeks land seizure without payment
    • Central Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago says ending rate hikes doesn’t mean start of cuts
    • Morgan Stanley recommends selling rand
    • READ: Standard Chartered Sees Year of Recovery for African Economy
MIDDLE EAST:
  • Main stock index in Abu Dhabi advances 0.8%, bucking declines across rest of Gulf markets
    • Arabtec gains 1.6%, rebounding from 4-day slump of 9.2% after posting 1st quarterly profit since 2014
    • Oil, region’s biggest export, declines 0.6% to near 5- month low
ANALYSIS:
  • Russia Takes After Fed as Monetary Policy Veers Off-Script Again
  • Cheapest Asian Stocks on Historical Basis Are in Korea: Chart

Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

Tickers
TCELL TI (Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS)

Topics
Emerging Mkts News, Analysis

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