HALISTER1: Russian Political News Adds to Pressure on OFZs: Morgan Stanley

Russian Political News Adds to Pressure on OFZs: Morgan Stanley

(Bloomberg) -- OFZs have been under pressure recently on higher core rates, negative headlines about new sanctions being discussed by U.S., U.K. and heavy positioning, Morgan Stanley analysts say in e-mailed note.
  • OFZs remain attractive carry trade in medium term
  • Expects CPI to drop to 5.9% by yr-end and to 5% mid-2017 due to RUB strength and weaker growth
    • NOTE: Russia Sept. Inflation Rate Falls to 6.4% Y/y
  • Tightened stop on long RUB vs CAD position; remains long for now, “but the additional risks coming from potential sanctions warrant some caution”
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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