HALISTER1: Sell USD 6M3Y High Strike Payers Vs Buy EUR ATM Payers: Barclays

Sell USD 6M3Y High Strike Payers Vs Buy EUR ATM Payers: Barclays

(Bloomberg) -- Wide difference between USD 6m3y and EUR 6m3y vols allows investors to sell ~30bp high strike payers in the U.S., which provides sufficient cushion for an upside suprise in data, Barclays strategists including Rajiv Setia write in client note.
  • Sell USD 6m3y high strike payers (ATM+/-30bp) vs buying EUR 6m3y ATM payers
  • Hesitation by ECB cutting rates could lead to a reasonable sell-off in the front end, with EUR forward rates curve pricing in further cuts
  • Convergence of global yield curves in the front to intermediate sector more likely on any shift in the Fed’s reaction function to inflation as the guidepost
Alert: HALISTER1
Source: BFW (Bloomberg First Word)

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Rajiv Setia (Barclays PLC)

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